B). Conflict prevention and timely notification of management structures. Many of the recent turmoil in international relations has come as a real political surprise. It is enough to recall the "velvet revolutions" in Eastern Europe, the war in the Persian Gulf, the rapid escalation of ethnic conflicts in Yugoslavia and the growing tension between states and nations. Not only the inability to anticipate disasters in these cases, but also the lack of a firm response from professional diplomats, diplomatic correspondents, and academic media. A model diplomat tends to be more interested in facts than probabilities. Few ministries of foreign Affairs have included in their structure areas of political analysis that deal only with the preparation of speeches by foreign ministers. Forecasting the political context and analyzing possible developments in this area are far from institutionalized. This is unacceptable for two reasons. Firstly, because the future will inevitably save us from less happy scenarios, facing crises and new threats and ignoring them will mean losing a historic chance. Secondly, because such an attitude is unlikely to contribute to strengthening preventive diplomacy or forms of effective conflict prevention. There are several explanations for the inability to predict major events in international relations. Traditionally, the inability to anticipate in international politics is explained by last-minute events in the field of international relations, including conflict dynamics, as well as the lack of high-quality classified information. However, a comprehensive explanation should also include general disinterest, cognitive biases, social and epistemological pressures, and disregard for the power of public opinion.
Cognitive biases include the tendency to view the future as a continuation of the present and as the result of a gradual process. From a psychological point of view, this is much more convenient than living with the prospect of an uncertain future. In terms of social and epistemological pressure, we can mention (1) the existence of myths and taboos, (2) the limited attention span of democracies, and (3) the misinformation promoted by pressure groups. Here are the special 1xBet Pakistan bonus code and promotions available for sports betting bonuses by using exclusive 1xbet promo code pakistan enter our bonus code for 1XBET in the registration form and claim exclusive bonuses for casino and sports betting. Players in Pakistan can use this code when opening your account to get a bonus of up to 36,000 PKR or $/€130.
